BY PATRICK ROWE
BIRMINGHAM
– The affable Marvelous Nakamba is so often the unsung hero who’s set to
feature more prominently for Aston Villa this season.
With Douglas Luiz set for a break after
his Olympic Games involvement, it’s Dean Smith who will will assess the
possibility of Zimbabwean Nakamba stepping
up in his absence.
This idea that Nakamba will see increased
minutes in the near future has been reinforced through pre-season. The
27-year-old has started in both of the pre-season friendlies so far
against Walsall and Stoke City which, again, suggests that the Villa coaching staff are keen to see how he has developed
over the summer.
In a dull
performance at the bet365 Stadium against Stoke on Saturday, Nakamba was one of
the few positives to take from it as he looked increasingly confident on the
ball as well as displaying his usual tenacity defensively.
It may
only be pre-season, but it is promising to know that his confidence could
snowball going into the season after games like this
It is integral Nakamba does
in fact carry this form into the beginning of the season knowing he could well
be vital in midfield in the opening games against Watford, Newcastle United,
Brentford and Chelsea.
Given
Villa’s four-game winning start last season a positive start can set the tone
for the entire campaign.
A
proportion of the fanbase, though, are keen for Villa to invest in a new
defensive midfielder with rumours circulating regarding Southampton’s Oriol
Romeu and FC Metz’s Pape Matar Sarr.
It poses a question,
then; should Villa invest in this position knowing there are questions
regarding Nakamba’s ability on the ball? Or should he be trusted to start the
season as Smith’s first option?
The graphic, pictured above, outlines why fans and even the coaching
staff may be doubtful regarding the Hwange born star’s reliability in the Villa
midfield.
There are
no doubts regarding the Zimbabwe international’s defensive ability but, as the
graphic shows, a lack of composure and ability on the ball could hinder Villa
this season.
The
statistics were taken from comparing him to his positional peers within the
Premier League in the 2020/21 season and, amongst these players, he was in the
top ten percent in; defensive pressures, successful pressures, blocks and
stopping players dribbling past him – as well as ranking high in tackles and
clearances.
Leeds
United’s Kalvin Phillips is regularly praised for his defensive work rate and
non-stop running.
He
averages 23.6 pressures per game compared to Nakamba who averages 25.
Nakamba’s
work rate is uncommon and wouldn’t be out of place in Marco Bielsa’s side.
Running
figures that compete with Leeds United are somewhat of an anomaly in Villa’s
squad and should be valued highly.
An issue
fans highlighted with Douglas Luiz was although he ran, he saw little to no
results stemming from this.
Luiz
averages 20 pressures per game for Villa, but with just five of these pressures
leading to the opposition losing possession.
There
were rarely results for this running. He possesses the work rate but lacks the
ability to apply a press effectively.
Nakamba
operates on a much more efficient basis. With 7.5 successful pressures a game,
he is in the top 10% of midfielders in the Premier League for forcing errors
following his ability to apply a press.
This is
one of the many weapons in his defensive arsenal that make him so problematic
for attackers in this league.
His
defensive IQ and ability to read opponents is clearly of a high degree. As well
as the extraordinary level of pressures, he also averages 2.7 tackles, 2.5
blocks, two clearances and, for the season, was dribbled past less than once a
game (0.72).
He does
everything Smith could want defensively, and more.
Another
statistic that highlights his ability to read the game is the number of fouls
he commits.
Nakamba
averages just one foul a game, whereas Luiz averages more than double at 2.2.
The
frequency of Luiz’s fouls may show his poor positioning and judgement of the
game in this position. These fouls have also cost Villa in vital situations
such as the penalties conceded against Manchester United.
Nakamba’s
ability to involve himself defensively whilst also staying out of trouble in
terms of fouls is extremely useful and he should be applauded for his judgement
and timing.
His
outstanding defensive ability should surely be enough for him to secure this
starting position for Villa?
Sadly, this is not the case with the issues as
to why are outlined here; Nakamba can be perfectly represented by his
performance away against Tottenham Hotspur last season.
Although
he was solid defensively recording three tackles with a 100% success rate, 26
pressures and two interceptions, he was caught on the ball for Spurs’ first
goal after being robbed of possession by Steven Bergwijn.
This is
where issues arise for Nakamba. When you ask him to operate as the modern-day
holding midfielder, its Villa who want him to be a calming influence on the
ball who is able to not only break up play, but progress the team forward.
As the
aforementioned graphic outlines, his ability on the ball is a weakness of his
and is the main issue holding him back from becoming a trusted starter for
Villa.
He
averages just 28 passes completed per game compared to Luiz at around 38. As
the Spurs goal emphasises, he also struggles under pressure.
With just 6.7 passes under pressure being made
a game. Compared to more comfortable players in midfield such as James
Ward-Prowse at around 8.3 passes under pressure a game.
Being uncomfortable
under pressure, especially in midfield could lead to costly error for Villa.
The incident at Spurs
was a clear example of this. It is also well known that Nakamba is strongly
left footed.
He averages just 3.8
passes attempted with his right foot, which is in the bottom 4% of Premier League
midfielders.
This lack
of balance in midfield stagnates attacks for Villa. Also, whilst Nakamba
attempts to readjust himself to use his left foot, it only increases the
likelihood that he may get caught in possession.
However,
the biggest stat from the lot is this one; in the six games Nakamba played 80+
minutes last season, Villa recorded 5 wins and 1 draw, with four clean sheets
to boot.
His
display against Chelsea in the last game of the season was also exceptional,
leading the team with 31 pressures as well as recording eight blocks. He was an
undeniable force defensively.
Nakamba
will be able to come in and produce for Villa.
However,
whether he can develop his passing ability and secure this position for the
foreseeable future remains to be seen.
It will be interesting to see now whether or not Villa invest in a defensive midfielder before the transfer window ends.- Birmingham Mail